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Thread: EXPLAIN URSELF CULLIONZ!!!

  1. #21


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    Your novel computation of expectation values.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    Trump can't actually win an election.. can he ?
    Quote Originally Posted by MerkinMuffly View Post
    Short answer is no.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    I think you're right here.

  2. #22
    If I die before I wake.. Cullion's Avatar
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    Firstly, do you agree that my expected values agree with the monte carlo result?
    ONE SOUL AT A TIME

    Quote Originally Posted by Danno
    i got nothing, you win again.
    Quote Originally Posted by resolve
    I trust God more than I trust you. And that will never change. I've always viewed you as kind of a snake. No biblical connotations need apply, just the regular ones. You're wise. You're really intelligent. But you're also conniving and have this way of getting what you want when you want it. The sickness I was talking about was your propensity to kind of reach in and grasp on to something to define someone here. You harangue them about it and manipulate it in to conversations. You do that with every single poster here. You do this until they see things your way. The "correct way". It's vile.

  3. #23


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    Clarify please, do you mean the computation of wealth or expectation values, from the coin toss model? or something else?
    Last edited by Dr. Socially Liberal Fiscally Conservative Vermin; 16th December 19 at 07:32 AM. Reason: TORY LANDSLIDE!!
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    Trump can't actually win an election.. can he ?
    Quote Originally Posted by MerkinMuffly View Post
    Short answer is no.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    I think you're right here.

  4. #24
    If I die before I wake.. Cullion's Avatar
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    Mar 2005
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    Yes | No

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    Computation of expected wealth. 'Expectation value' that doesn't match that isn't a meaningfully useful expectation.
    ONE SOUL AT A TIME

    Quote Originally Posted by Danno
    i got nothing, you win again.
    Quote Originally Posted by resolve
    I trust God more than I trust you. And that will never change. I've always viewed you as kind of a snake. No biblical connotations need apply, just the regular ones. You're wise. You're really intelligent. But you're also conniving and have this way of getting what you want when you want it. The sickness I was talking about was your propensity to kind of reach in and grasp on to something to define someone here. You harangue them about it and manipulate it in to conversations. You do that with every single poster here. You do this until they see things your way. The "correct way". It's vile.

  5. #25


    Yes | No

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    uhuh...
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    Trump can't actually win an election.. can he ?
    Quote Originally Posted by MerkinMuffly View Post
    Short answer is no.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    I think you're right here.

  6. #26


    Yes | No

    Default

    Show your working & I'll decide if I agree....
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    Trump can't actually win an election.. can he ?
    Quote Originally Posted by MerkinMuffly View Post
    Short answer is no.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    I think you're right here.

  7. #27


    Yes | No

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    oOoooOOo 2 days late with your homework now & still not shown your working. Are you having a problem inventing a new way of calculating expected wealth?

    I can help I did it for you here
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    Trump can't actually win an election.. can he ?
    Quote Originally Posted by MerkinMuffly View Post
    Short answer is no.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    I think you're right here.

  8. #28
    If I die before I wake.. Cullion's Avatar
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    Mar 2005
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    I already showed you how I worked it out. I expect each side to come up equally as often over the long term. If that happens (as it most likely will, and becomes ever more likely to for more tosses) then total wealth shrinks.

    One win and one loss (in any order) results in wealth*1.5*0.6=0.9*wealth. A 10% loss every 2 rounds. Losses accumulate here.

    My expected wealth is therefore 0.9^(tosses/2) and that agrees with the monte carlo result.
    Last edited by Cullion; 18th December 19 at 01:11 PM.
    ONE SOUL AT A TIME

    Quote Originally Posted by Danno
    i got nothing, you win again.
    Quote Originally Posted by resolve
    I trust God more than I trust you. And that will never change. I've always viewed you as kind of a snake. No biblical connotations need apply, just the regular ones. You're wise. You're really intelligent. But you're also conniving and have this way of getting what you want when you want it. The sickness I was talking about was your propensity to kind of reach in and grasp on to something to define someone here. You harangue them about it and manipulate it in to conversations. You do that with every single poster here. You do this until they see things your way. The "correct way". It's vile.

  9. #29


    Yes | No

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    Please clarify how you derived: wealth*1.5*0.6=0.9*wealth

    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    Trump can't actually win an election.. can he ?
    Quote Originally Posted by MerkinMuffly View Post
    Short answer is no.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    I think you're right here.

  10. #30


    Yes | No

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    Because that aint how you calculate expectation...
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    Trump can't actually win an election.. can he ?
    Quote Originally Posted by MerkinMuffly View Post
    Short answer is no.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cullion View Post
    I think you're right here.

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